Dow 30 Market Timing
By Kenneth Coleman

Now that crude oil is making one new high after another, the chances for the Fed Funds Rate to move higher than 25 basis points are improving. The Dow 30 is valued the old fashion way: if a stock doesn't make the profit expected, it quickly drops in price. Earnings are currently being announced for the 4th quarter.

A majority of corporations have improved earnings but the question is will these corporations continue to meet profit expectations after the Fed raised interest rates in February? The answer depends on how high the interest rates go. Higher interest rates will negatively affect the Blue Chips and Dow 30. The NASDAQ high-tech and e-commerce companies pay no state or local taxes on their sales over the Internet. As a result, they have a greater comfort zone when it comes to higher interest rates.

The NYSE Money Flow Index went to a buy signal after the first week in January. It is now at a point where it could quickly move to a sell signal.

[Editor's Note: Ken's comments & Dow recommendations were made 1/21/99.]

[Editor's note: Ken Coleman is the country's only "Investment Tracker." He tracks all the money flowing into & out of the total investment spectrum of G7 nations. Due to his unprecedented timing predictions using money flow analysis, he, like Larry Oakley, is in Who's Who in the World in Finance & Industry. He is editor of Kenneth Coleman's Investment Tracker newsletter. Call him at 760-720-0107 or call the publisher at 800-380-2891.]

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